{"id":2931,"date":"2026-02-26T22:35:29","date_gmt":"2026-02-26T22:35:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/?p=2931"},"modified":"2026-03-01T16:31:44","modified_gmt":"2026-03-01T16:31:44","slug":"ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/","title":{"rendered":"PTF Tahmini Neden Zordur? Hava, Ar\u0131za, \u0130letim K\u0131s\u0131t\u0131 ve Talep Belirsizli\u011fine Veriyle Yakla\u015f\u0131m (HES Perspektifi)"},"content":{"rendered":"

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text css=””]<\/p>\n

\n

<\/p>\n

\n
RENEWASOFT | TEKNiK BLOG<\/div>\n
Okuma S\u00fcresi:<\/b> ~20-24 dk \u00a0|\u00a0 Seviye:<\/b> \u0130leri
\nHedef Kitle:<\/b> HES i\u015fletmecileri, SCADA m\u00fchendisleri, enerji \u015firketi y\u00f6neticileri<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

<\/p>\n

\n
Meta description<\/div>\n
PTF tahmini neden zor? Hava, ar\u0131za, iletim k\u0131s\u0131t\u0131 ve talep belirsizli\u011fini; veri kaynaklar\u0131, feature mant\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Hydrowise yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131yla anlat\u0131yoruz.<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n
Anahtar kelimeler<\/div>\n
PTF tahmini, G\u00fcn \u00d6ncesi Piyasas\u0131, EP\u0130A\u015e \u015eeffafl\u0131k, elektrik fiyat tahmini, hava durumu, iletim k\u0131s\u0131t\u0131, ar\u0131za, talep tahmini<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

<\/p>\n

<\/h1>\n

<\/p>\n

Hook + problem tan\u0131m\u0131<\/h2>\n

Ayn\u0131 baraj, ayn\u0131 t\u00fcrbin, ayn\u0131 su ama \u201cyar\u0131nki gelir\u201d \u00e7o\u011fu zaman sahadaki ger\u00e7eklerden de\u011fil, PTF\u2019nin nereye gitti\u011finden etkilenir.
\nK\u00e2\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerinde basit g\u00f6r\u00fcnen problem \u015fudur: \u201cErtesi g\u00fcn 24 saatlik PTF\u2019yi do\u011fru tahmin edelim.\u201d
\nGer\u00e7ekte ise PTF, yaln\u0131zca ge\u00e7mi\u015f fiyatlar\u0131n devam\u0131 de\u011fil; hava durumu, ar\u0131za riski, iletim k\u0131s\u0131tlar\u0131 ve talep belirsizli\u011fi gibi fakt\u00f6rlerin ayn\u0131 anda devreye girdi\u011fi,
\nzaman zaman rejim de\u011fi\u015ftiren bir s\u00fcre\u00e7tir. \u00dcstelik PTF, tekliflerin bir optimizasyon\/uzla\u015ft\u0131rma mekanizmas\u0131yla e\u015fle\u015fmesinden \u00e7\u0131kan bir \u201csonu\u00e7\u201d fiyat\u0131d\u0131r [1][4].
\nBu y\u00fczden PTF tahmini, veri bilimiyle \u201csadece model kurmak\u201d de\u011fil; do\u011fru veri, do\u011fru zaman hizas\u0131, do\u011fru feature mant\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve operasyonel geri besleme gerektiren bir karar problemidir [5][6].<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\n
TL;DR<\/div>\n
    \n
  • PTF bir zaman serisi de\u011fil, optimizasyonla olu\u015fan bir piyasa sonucudur; bu y\u00fczden d\u00fcn \u2192 yar\u0131n mant\u0131\u011f\u0131 tek ba\u015f\u0131na yetmez [1][4].<\/li>\n
  • Hava, hem talebi (\u0131s\u0131tma\/so\u011futma) hem de arz\u0131 (r\u00fczg\u00e2r\/g\u00fcne\u015f\/hidro) ayn\u0131 anda oynat\u0131r; k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck sapmalar bile marjinal \u00fcretimi de\u011fi\u015ftirip fiyat\u0131 z\u0131platabilir [5][7].<\/li>\n
  • Ar\u0131zalar ve zorunlu devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131lar, arz e\u011frisini aniden kayd\u0131r\u0131r; \u00f6zellikle pik saatlerde PTF\u2019yi tahmin d\u0131\u015f\u0131na ta\u015f\u0131r [6].<\/li>\n
  • \u0130letim k\u0131s\u0131tlar\u0131 ve sistem k\u0131s\u0131tlar\u0131, en ucuz \u00fcretim devreye girer varsay\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 bozar; yerel\/operasyonel k\u0131s\u0131tlar fiyat dinami\u011fini de\u011fi\u015ftirir [9][10].<\/li>\n
  • Ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 tahmin yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131, veri kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 do\u011fru birle\u015ftirip (EP\u0130A\u015e \u015eeffafl\u0131k + meteoroloji + ar\u0131za\/plan + iletim g\u00f6stergeleri) feature\u2019lar\u0131 bilinen zaman mant\u0131\u011f\u0131yla \u00fcretmek ve tahmini sahadaki ger\u00e7eklerle s\u00fcrekli g\u00fcncellemektir [2][5].<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n

    <\/p>\n

    PTF nedir? Neyi tahmin etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yoruz?<\/h2>\n

    PTF (Piyasa Takas Fiyat\u0131), T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de G\u00fcn \u00d6ncesi Piyasas\u0131\u2019nda (G\u00d6P) her saat i\u00e7in piyasan\u0131n e\u015fle\u015fme sonucunda olu\u015fan referans fiyat\u0131d\u0131r.
    \nBasit\u00e7e \u201cyar\u0131n saat 19:00 fiyat\u0131 ka\u00e7?\u201d sorusunun piyasa cevab\u0131d\u0131r. Ancak burada kritik detay \u015fudur: PTF, bir \u201cetiket\u201d de\u011fil; arz-talep tekliflerinin k\u0131s\u0131tlar alt\u0131nda \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesiyle ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan bir optimizasyon \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131s\u0131d\u0131r [1].
    \nYani PTF, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131 davran\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n, maliyetlerin, beklentilerin ve sistem ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n birle\u015fik sonucudur.<\/p>\n

    <\/p>\n

    Elektrik fiyat\u0131 neden di\u011fer emtialardan farkl\u0131 davran\u0131r?<\/h2>\n

    Elektrik depolamas\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131d\u0131r, denge anl\u0131kt\u0131r, talep k\u0131sa vadede \u201cinat\u00e7\u0131\u201d olabilir. Bu, fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00fcksek volatilite, nonlineer ili\u015fkiler ve u\u00e7 olaylara (spike) a\u00e7\u0131k olmas\u0131na neden olur [5][6].
    \nBu y\u00fczden literat\u00fcrde elektrik fiyat tahmini, \u201cortalama hatay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrme\u201d kadar \u201cu\u00e7 saatleri yakalama\u201d problemi olarak ele al\u0131n\u0131r [6].<\/p>\n

    <\/p>\n

    PTF tahmini i\u00e7in d\u00f6rt ana zorlay\u0131c\u0131 (hava, ar\u0131za, iletim, talep)<\/h2>\n

    Blog konumuzdaki d\u00f6rt fakt\u00f6r\u00fc, pratik bir modelleme \u00e7er\u00e7evesine oturtal\u0131m:<\/p>\n

      \n
    • Talep belirsizli\u011fi:<\/b> Yar\u0131nki y\u00fck tahmini hatas\u0131, marjinal santral se\u00e7imini de\u011fi\u015ftirir; bu, PTF\u2019ye birebir yans\u0131r [5][10].<\/li>\n
    • Hava:<\/b> Talep taraf\u0131n\u0131 ve RES\/GES \u00fcretimini ayn\u0131 anda etkiler. Hidroda da dolayl\u0131 etkiler (ya\u011f\u0131\u015f\/kar erimesi) vard\u0131r [5][7].<\/li>\n
    • Ar\u0131zalar:<\/b> Beklenmeyen devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131lar, \u00f6zellikle \u201cpik saatlerde\u201d arz\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131p spike yarat\u0131r [6].<\/li>\n
    • \u0130letim k\u0131s\u0131tlar\u0131:<\/b> \u015eebeke k\u0131s\u0131t\u0131, ekonomik s\u0131ralaman\u0131n (merit order) bozulmas\u0131na ve sistemin farkl\u0131 bir denge noktas\u0131na gitmesine yol a\u00e7abilir [9][10].<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      <\/p>\n

      \"\u015eekil-1\"
      \u015eekil-1<\/b>
      \nPTF tahminini zorla\u015ft\u0131ran d\u00f6rt ana kuvvet (hava, ar\u0131za, iletim k\u0131s\u0131t\u0131, talep belirsizli\u011fi) ve 2024 T\u00fcrkiye piyasas\u0131na ait referans g\u00f6stergeler.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

      <\/p>\n

      \n
      Teknik Not: \u201cPTF = optimizasyon + zaman k\u0131s\u0131t\u0131\u201d ger\u00e7e\u011fi<\/div>\n

      G\u00d6P\u2019te piyasa e\u015fle\u015ftirmesi; kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131 tekliflerini al\u0131r, k\u0131s\u0131tlar alt\u0131nda \u00e7\u00f6zerek saatlik fiyat ve miktarlar\u0131 belirler.
      \nPTF\u2019yi tahmin etmek, asl\u0131nda \u201cyar\u0131nki denge noktas\u0131n\u0131n\u201d nerede olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin etmektir [1].<\/p>\n

      Model diliyle: PTF sadece ge\u00e7mi\u015f PTF\u2019nin fonksiyonu de\u011fil; arz talep e\u011frilerinin yar\u0131n hangi \u015fartlarda kesi\u015fece\u011finin fonksiyonudur.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

      <\/p>\n

      Nas\u0131l \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r?<\/h2>\n

      Bu b\u00f6l\u00fcmde \u201cde\u011fi\u015fkenler \u2192 veri kaynaklar\u0131 \u2192 feature mant\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201d ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 net bir \u015fekilde kural\u0131m.<\/p>\n

      <\/p>\n

      De\u011fi\u015fkenler: PTF\u2019yi s\u00fcr\u00fckleyen temel driver aileleri<\/h3>\n

      Literat\u00fcr ve saha prati\u011fi genelde driver\u2019lar\u0131 \u015fu ailelerde toplar [5][6]:<\/p>\n

        \n
      • Ge\u00e7mi\u015f fiyat ve takvim etkisi: Saat-g\u00fcn-hafta sezonsall\u0131\u011f\u0131, tatiller, ay ba\u015f\u0131\/sonu davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131 [5].<\/li>\n
      • Talep & talep belirsizli\u011fi: Y\u00fck seviyesi + y\u00fck tahmini hatas\u0131 (forecast error) [5][10].<\/li>\n
      • Arz karmas\u0131: Do\u011falgaz\/ithal k\u00f6m\u00fcr\/hidro\/RES\/GES \u00fcretim d\u00fczeyleri (marjinal yak\u0131t) [7][8].<\/li>\n
      • Yak\u0131t & makro g\u00f6stergeler: Gaz, k\u00f6m\u00fcr, d\u00f6viz, baz\u0131 piyasalarda CO\u2082 vb. [8].<\/li>\n
      • Sistem ve \u015febeke ko\u015fullar\u0131: \u0130letim k\u0131s\u0131tlar\u0131, k\u0131s\u0131t y\u00f6netimi, kesintiler, operasyonel talimatlar [9][10].<\/li>\n
      • Ar\u0131za\/planl\u0131 bak\u0131m\/kapasite: Zorunlu devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131lar, \u00fcnite kullan\u0131labilirli\u011fi [6].<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

        <\/p>\n

        Veri kaynaklar\u0131: \u201changi veri nereden gelir?\u201d (TR odak)<\/h3>\n

        PTF tahmini i\u00e7in veri kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n \u201cresmi\u201d ve \u201coperasyonel\u201d ayr\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6nemlidir:<\/p>\n

          \n
        • EP\u0130A\u015e \u015eeffafl\u0131k Platformu: PTF ve \u00e7ok say\u0131da piyasa\/\u00fcretim\/t\u00fcketim verisi i\u00e7in ana kaynak [2].<\/li>\n
        • EP\u0130A\u015e \u015eeffafl\u0131k \u2013 eknik dok\u00fcmantasyon: Veri eri\u015fim y\u00f6ntemleri ve servis mant\u0131\u011f\u0131 (entegrasyon) [3].<\/li>\n
        • Meteoroloji verileri: S\u0131cakl\u0131k, r\u00fczg\u00e2r h\u0131z\u0131, bulutluluk, ya\u011f\u0131\u015f; m\u00fcmk\u00fcnse b\u00f6lgesel k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131mla. (Kaynak se\u00e7imi kurumunuza g\u00f6re de\u011fi\u015fir.)<\/li>\n
        • TE\u0130A\u015e\/ENTSO-E benzeri \u015febeke & iletim g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc: K\u0131s\u0131tlar, b\u00f6lgesel darbo\u011fazlar, planl\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar [10].<\/li>\n
        • Tesis i\u00e7i SCADA\/EMS verileri: HES i\u00e7in debi, head, kapak, Kw, \u00fcnite durumlar\u0131 (PTF tahminini \u201cmiktar riskiyle\u201d birlikte d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek i\u00e7in kritik).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

          <\/p>\n

          \"\u015eekil-2\"
          \u015eekil-2<\/b>
          \n\u015eekil 2 2024 y\u0131l\u0131nda spot piyasada e\u015fle\u015fen enerji miktar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131: G\u00d6P 230,16 TWh, G\u0130P 15,17 TWh.
          \nG\u00d6P\u2019\u00fcn \u201cana planlama ve likidite\u201d merkezi olmas\u0131, PTF tahmininin kritik de\u011ferini art\u0131r\u0131rken; G\u0130P, belirsizlik ve sapma y\u00f6netiminde d\u00fczeltme band\u0131 olarak konumlan\u0131r. [11]<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

          <\/p>\n

          Feature mant\u0131\u011f\u0131: En \u00e7ok hata yap\u0131lan yer zaman hizas\u0131<\/h3>\n

          Model performans\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7o\u011fu ekip \u201changi algoritma?\u201d diye tart\u0131\u015f\u0131yor; pratikte en b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m genellikle feature m\u00fchendisli\u011finde ya\u015fan\u0131r. \u0130ki kritik kural var:<\/p>\n

          Kural-1:<\/b> \u201cBilinen zaman\u201d prensibi (data leakage yok).<\/p>\n

          Yar\u0131n 18:00 PTF tahminini yaparken, yar\u0131n 18:00\u2019de ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan bir veriyi (ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen \u00fcretim\/ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen talep gibi) feature\u2019a koyarsan\u0131z model harika g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr, \u00fcretimde \u00e7\u00f6ker.<\/p>\n

          Kural-2:<\/b> Tahmin ufku kadar \u201cgecikmeli\u201d feature tasarla.<\/p>\n

          Day-ahead tahminde; meteoroloji tahminleri, talep tahminleri, planl\u0131 bak\u0131m listeleri gibi bid-time\u2019da bilinen sinyaller kullan\u0131lmal\u0131.
          \n\u201cGer\u00e7ekle\u015fen\u201d veriler ise modelin e\u011fitimi i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilir ama tahmin an\u0131nda ayn\u0131s\u0131 yoksa mutlaka proxy \u00fcretmek gerekir [5][6].<\/p>\n

          <\/p>\n

          \"\u015eekil-3\"
          \u015eekil-3<\/b>
          \n\u015eekil 3 Day-ahead PTF tahmininde \u201cbilinen zaman\u201d prensibi.
          \nTeklif kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131 (Gate Closure) an\u0131nda modelde kullan\u0131labilecek veriler ile (EP\u0130A\u015e ge\u00e7mi\u015f PTF, meteoroloji tahmini, talep senaryosu, planl\u0131 bak\u0131m\/k\u0131s\u0131t duyurular\u0131)
          \nteslimat g\u00fcn\u00fc ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan ve modelde kullan\u0131lamayacak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen verilerin ayr\u0131m\u0131 g\u00f6sterilmektedir.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

          <\/p>\n

          \n
          Risk Kutusu: PTF modellerinde en g\u00f6r\u00fcnmez risk \u2014 Data Leakage<\/div>\n

          A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki hatalar, test sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 \u015fi\u015firir ve canl\u0131da tahmini bozar:<\/p>\n

            \n
          • \u201cYar\u0131nki ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen talep\u201d ile PTF tahmini yapmak<\/li>\n
          • Ayn\u0131 g\u00fcne ait \u201ckapan\u0131\u015f sonras\u0131\u201d yay\u0131mlanan verileri day-ahead feature\u2019a koymak<\/li>\n
          • \u201cGelecek bilgisi\u201d i\u00e7eren rolling istatistikleri yanl\u0131\u015f hesaplamak (\u00f6rn. t+24\u2019\u00fc g\u00f6ren ortalama)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

            Bu y\u00fczden her feature i\u00e7in \u015fu soru sorulmal\u0131:<\/p>\n

            \u201cBu bilgi, teklif\/veri kapan\u0131\u015f an\u0131nda elimde var m\u0131yd\u0131?\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

            <\/p>\n

            HES \/ enerji tesisi taraf\u0131nda etkisi<\/h2>\n

            HES i\u00e7in PTF tahmini neden daha \u201coperasyon ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131\u201d?<\/h3>\n

            Baz\u0131 \u00fcretim teknolojileri i\u00e7in fiyat tahmini, a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kla piyasa dinami\u011fi ve yak\u0131t maliyetleri \u00fczerinden y\u00fcr\u00fcr. HES\u2019te ise ek bir katman vard\u0131r: suyun saatlere ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131.
            \nYani HES, fiyat\u0131 sadece \u201cizleyen\u201d de\u011fil, do\u011fru saatlere su planlayarak fiyat\u0131 monetize eden taraft\u0131r.
            \nBu y\u00fczden PTF tahmini HES\u2019te \u015fu iki soruyla birle\u015fir:<\/p>\n

              \n
            • Yar\u0131n fiyat nerede?<\/li>\n
            • Yar\u0131n \u201co saatlerde\u201d \u00fcretim garantim ve riskim ne? (debi belirsizli\u011fi, ekipman durumu, \u00e7evresel k\u0131s\u0131tlar)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

              Bu ikinci soru devreye girdi\u011finde; PTF tahmini tek ba\u015f\u0131na de\u011fil, operasyonel risk g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcyle birlikte de\u011fer \u00fcretir.<\/p>\n

              HES\u2019te PTF hatas\u0131 nerede \u201cparaya d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u201d?<\/h3>\n
                \n
              • Yanl\u0131\u015f saatlere su koyma: Y\u00fcksek fiyat beklerken fiyat gelmez \u2192 f\u0131rsat maliyeti<\/li>\n
              • Pik saatlerde \u00fcretim tutmamas\u0131: PTF do\u011fru olsa bile miktar sapar \u2192 gelir erir<\/li>\n
              • Reaktif d\u00fczeltme d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc: \u201cPlan bozuldu\u201d \u2192 son dakika aksiyon \u2192 karar kalitesi d\u00fc\u015fer<\/li>\n
              • Teminat \/ risk profili bask\u0131s\u0131: Belirsizlik artt\u0131k\u00e7a finansal tarafta risk i\u015ftah\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fer (piyasa mekanizmas\u0131 detaylar\u0131 kurumlara g\u00f6re de\u011fi\u015fse de risk y\u00f6netimi pratikte bu \u015fekilde g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr.)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                \n
                Bilgi Notu: HES\u2019te \u201cfiyat tahmini\u201d asl\u0131nda iki tahminin \u00e7arp\u0131m\u0131d\u0131r<\/div>\n

                HES gelirini belirleyen \u015fey yaln\u0131zca PTF de\u011fildir; gelir = fiyat \u00d7 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen miktar mant\u0131\u011f\u0131 sahada birebir \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r.
                \nElektrik fiyat tahmini literat\u00fcr\u00fc, fiyatlar\u0131n \u00f6zellikle belirsizlik ve u\u00e7 olaylarda daha zor tahmin edildi\u011fini vurgular;
                \nbu saatler genellikle ayn\u0131 zamanda operasyonel stresin de artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 saatlerdir (y\u00fcksek talep, de\u011fi\u015fken RES\/GES, ar\u0131za riski, k\u0131s\u0131t olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131) [5][6].<\/p>\n

                Bu y\u00fczden HES\u2019te iyi bir PTF yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131, \u201cyar\u0131n fiyat nerede?\u201d sorusunu \u201cyar\u0131n o saatlerde \u00fcretim g\u00fcven aral\u0131\u011f\u0131m ne?\u201d sorusuyla birlikte ele alan bir karar band\u0131 \u00fcretmek zorundad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

                <\/p>\n

                \u00d6rnek senaryo \/ mini hesap \/ ak\u0131\u015f<\/h2>\n

                Senaryo: Barajl\u0131 HES \u2014 \u201cso\u011fuk hava + r\u00fczg\u00e2r sapmas\u0131 + iletim k\u0131s\u0131t\u0131\u201d g\u00fcn\u00fc<\/h3>\n

                Varsayal\u0131m yar\u0131n i\u00e7in \u015fu sinyaller var:<\/p>\n

                  \n
                • Meteoroloji: Ak\u015fam saatlerinde so\u011fuk art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u2192 talep art\u0131\u015f riski<\/li>\n
                • B\u00f6lgesel r\u00fczg\u00e2r tahmini: Beklenen \u00fcretim var ama belirsizlik y\u00fcksek<\/li>\n
                • \u015eebeke: Belirli hatlarda planl\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma \u2192 b\u00f6lgesel k\u0131s\u0131t ihtimali<\/li>\n
                • Tesis: \u00dcnite-2\u2019de s\u0131cakl\u0131k\/titre\u015fim trendi normalin \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na yakla\u015fm\u0131\u015f (kritik de\u011fil ama risk sinyali)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                  Ama\u00e7:<\/b> Yar\u0131n 17:00\u201322:00 band\u0131nda en iyi gelir-risk dengesini kurmak.<\/p>\n

                  Ad\u0131m ad\u0131m ak\u0131\u015f (karar \u015femas\u0131)<\/h3>\n
                    \n
                  1. Talep & hava senaryosu olu\u015ftur:<\/b>\n
                    Normal \/ so\u011fuk \/ \u00e7ok so\u011fuk senaryosu<\/div>\n
                    Her senaryoda saatlik talep sapma band\u0131<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
                  2. RES belirsizli\u011fini modele sok:<\/b>\n
                    Tek say\u0131 \u00fcretim de\u011fil, tahmin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 (P10-P50-P90)<\/div>\n
                    Bu aral\u0131k, arz e\u011frisinin e\u011fimini de\u011fi\u015ftirir \u2192 PTF da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fir [5][6]<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
                  3. \u0130letim k\u0131s\u0131t\u0131 etkisini \u201crejim\u201d olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn:<\/b>\n
                    K\u0131s\u0131t yok \/ k\u0131s\u0131t var (b\u00f6lgesel darbo\u011faz)<\/div>\n
                    K\u0131s\u0131t varsa marjinal \u00fcretim de\u011fi\u015febilir [10]<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
                  4. HES \u00fcretim riskini dahil et (SCADA + bak\u0131m sinyali):<\/b>\n
                    \u00dcnite-2 riskliyse pik saatlerde %100 g\u00fcvenme<\/div>\n
                    \u201cKesin \u00fcretim\u201d ve \u201copsiyonel \u00fcretim\u201d band\u0131n\u0131 ay\u0131r<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
                  5. \u00c7\u0131kt\u0131: Saatlik PTF da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 + aksiyon band\u0131<\/b>\n
                    \u201cBu saatlerde suyu art\u0131r\u201d yerine:<\/div>\n
                    \u201cBu saatlerde suyu art\u0131r ama risk tetiklenirse fallback plan \u015fu\u201d yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

                    Mini not: Burada finansal dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k vermiyoruz; hedef, karar mant\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermek.<\/p>\n

                    \n
                    Bilgi Kart\u0131: Day-Ahead PTF tahmini i\u00e7in \u201cfeature aileleri\u201d (pratik liste)<\/div>\n
                      \n
                    • Zaman\/takvim: Saat, g\u00fcn, hafta, tatil, mevsimsellik<\/li>\n
                    • Y\u00fck: Y\u00fck tahmini, hata band\u0131, s\u0131cakl\u0131k t\u00fcrevleri (HDD\/CDD)<\/li>\n
                    • Arz: Kaynak bazl\u0131 \u00fcretim (gaz-k\u00f6m\u00fcr-hidro-RES-GES), kapasite kullan\u0131labilirli\u011fi<\/li>\n
                    • \u015eebeke: K\u0131s\u0131t g\u00f6stergeleri, b\u00f6lgesel sinyaller, planl\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar<\/li>\n
                    • Piyasa: Ge\u00e7mi\u015f PTF\/volatilite, spread g\u00f6stergeleri, spike \u00f6nc\u00fclleri (Kaynak yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131: [5][6][7][10])<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n

                      \u0130nfografik Tasla\u011f\u0131:<\/h3>\n

                      DRIVER KATMANI (4 Ana Kuvvet)<\/b><\/p>\n

                      DATA KATMANI (Kaynaklar)<\/b><\/p>\n

                      FEATURE KATMANI (Aileler)<\/b><\/p>\n

                      \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
                      DRIVER KATMANI (4 Ana Kuvvet)<\/th>\nDATA KATMANI (Kaynaklar)<\/th>\nFEATURE KATMANI (Aileler)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
                      Hava: Ya\u011f\u0131\u015f ve s\u0131cakl\u0131k, rezervuar giri\u015flerini do\u011frudan etkiler.<\/td>\nEP\u0130A\u015e \u015eeffafl\u0131k: Tarihsel PTF, \u00fcretim\/t\u00fcketim ve G\u00d6P verileri.<\/td>\nTakvim: G\u00fcn t\u00fcr\u00fc (hafta i\u00e7i\/sonu), puant saatler ve tatil kodlar\u0131.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                      Ar\u0131za: Santral veya iletim hatlar\u0131ndaki plans\u0131z duru\u015flar arz\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlar.<\/td>\nMeteoroloji Tahminleri: B\u00f6lgesel s\u0131cakl\u0131k ve ya\u011f\u0131\u015f projeksiyonlar\u0131.<\/td>\nLag Fiyat\/Volatilite: Ge\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6nem fiyat gecikmeleri (p-24 ve \u00f6tesi).<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                      \u0130letim K\u0131s\u0131t\u0131: \u015eebeke darbo\u011fazlar\u0131 b\u00f6lgesel fiyat farklar\u0131 yarat\u0131r.<\/td>\n\u015eebeke G\u00f6stergeleri: TE\u0130A\u015e Y\u00fck Tahmin Plan\u0131 (YTP) ve k\u0131s\u0131t endeksleri.<\/td>\nLoad Forecast: Tahmini y\u00fck miktar\u0131 ve model hata band\u0131.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                      Talep Belirsizli\u011fi: T\u00fcketici davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131 fiyat\u0131 sapt\u0131r\u0131r.<\/td>\nTesis SCADA: Rezervuar aktif hacmi ve anl\u0131k \u00fcretim verileri.<\/td>\nRES\/GES Band\u0131: R\u00fczg\u00e2r ve g\u00fcne\u015f \u00fcretimi tahmin aral\u0131klar\u0131.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

                      Marjinal Yak\u0131t Proxy:<\/b> Do\u011fal gaz ve k\u00f6m\u00fcr maliyet g\u00f6stergeleri.<\/p>\n

                      K\u0131s\u0131t Flag:<\/b> \u0130letim rejimi ve arz k\u0131s\u0131t i\u015faretleri.<\/p>\n

                      \u0130nfografik-1<\/b>
                      \n\u0130nfografik PTF tahminini sistematik hale getiren u\u00e7tan uca \u015fablon: s\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fcler \u2192 veri kaynaklar\u0131 \u2192 feature aileleri \u2192 senaryo\/da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131s\u0131 \u2192 HES karar band\u0131.
                      \n2024 T\u00fcrkiye piyasas\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7ek ve \u00fcretim karmas\u0131 g\u00f6stergeleri eklenmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n

                      <\/p>\n

                      Hydrowise \/ Renewasoft yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131<\/h2>\n

                      Problem tesiste nas\u0131l g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr?<\/h3>\n

                      Bir\u00e7ok tesiste PTF tahmini, ticaret ekibinin \u201cayr\u0131 bir i\u015fi\u201d gibi ya\u015far; SCADA ve saha ise ayr\u0131 bir d\u00fcnyad\u0131r. Sonu\u00e7ta \u015fu tablo olu\u015fur:<\/p>\n

                        \n
                      • Ticaret: \u201cFiyat\u0131 yakalad\u0131k.\u201d<\/li>\n
                      • Operasyon: \u201cSaha ko\u015fullar\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fti.\u201d<\/li>\n
                      • Finans: \u201cG\u00fcn sonunda neden sapma\/gelir fark\u0131 var?\u201d<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                        Bu kopuklu\u011fu azaltman\u0131n yolu; PTF tahminini tek ba\u015f\u0131na de\u011fil, veriyle a\u00e7\u0131klanabilir bir karar ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 olarak tasarlamakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

                        Hydrowise ile veri-odakl\u0131 PTF tahmini nas\u0131l konumlan\u0131r?<\/h3>\n

                        Hydrowise\u2019\u0131, EP\u0130A\u015e s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinin yerine ge\u00e7en bir \u201cticaret platformu\u201d olarak de\u011fil; PTF tahminini veri kaynaklar\u0131, belirsizlik ve operasyonel geri besleme<\/strong> \u00fczerinden daha y\u00f6netilebilir hale getiren mod\u00fcler bir analitik\/karar destek yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131<\/strong> olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek daha do\u011frudur.<\/p>\n

                        \n

                        Forecasting (PTF)<\/b> \u00a0 sadece nokta tahmini de\u011fil<\/p>\n

                          \n
                        • Saatlik PTF i\u00e7in senaryo\/da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 (belirsizlik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr)<\/li>\n
                        • Spike riskinin ayr\u0131 etiketlenmesi (risk saatleri)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n
                          \n

                          Feature mant\u0131\u011f\u0131:<\/b> EP\u0130A\u015e verisi + meteoroloji + \u015febeke sinyali<\/p>\n

                            \n
                          • EP\u0130A\u015e \u015eeffafl\u0131k verilerini d\u00fczenli \u00e7ekme ve hizalama [2][3]<\/li>\n
                          • Meteoroloji tahminlerini b\u00f6lgesel k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131mla modele verme<\/li>\n
                          • \u0130letim k\u0131s\u0131t\u0131 riskini \u201crejim de\u011fi\u015fimi\u201d gibi ele alma [10]<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n
                            \n

                            SCADA entegrasyonu:<\/b> fiyat \u2192 \u00fcretim ger\u00e7e\u011fi ba\u011flant\u0131s\u0131<\/p>\n

                              \n
                            • HES\u2019te PTF tahmini, \u201cmiktar riski\u201d ile birlikte anlam kazan\u0131r<\/li>\n
                            • Debi\/kW\/\u00fcnite durumu, tahminin operasyonel g\u00fcven band\u0131n\u0131 belirler<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n
                              \n

                              Piyasa i\u00e7g\u00f6r\u00fc ekran\u0131 (decision support)<\/b><\/p>\n

                                \n
                              • \u201cYar\u0131n 3 senaryo var: normal \/ so\u011fuk \/ k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131\u201d gibi okunabilir \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131<\/li>\n
                              • Operat\u00f6r ve ticaret ayn\u0131 tabloyu g\u00f6r\u00fcr \u2192 reaktif de\u011fil proaktif y\u00f6netim<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n

                                Uygulanabilir \u00f6neri: h\u0131zl\u0131 ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 i\u00e7in \u00f6rnek bir MVP yol haritas\u0131<\/h3>\n
                                  \n
                                • \n

                                  A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki plan, kurumun veri eri\u015fimi ve entegrasyon kapsam\u0131na g\u00f6re farkl\u0131 s\u00fcrelerde ilerleyebilir. Ama\u00e7, en az maliyetle do\u011fru temeli atmakt\u0131r:
                                  \u2022 Ad\u0131m-1:<\/strong> EP\u0130A\u015e verilerini \u00e7ekme + temel feature seti (takvim, ge\u00e7mi\u015f PTF, volatilite) [2][3]
                                  \u2022 Ad\u0131m-2:<\/strong> Meteoroloji + talep belirsizli\u011fiyle senaryo kurgusu + spike risk i\u015faretleme; canl\u0131 testte leakage kontrol listesi uygulama [5][6]<\/p>\n

                                  Bu ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 seti, daha sonra \u015febeke sinyalleri ve SCADA ba\u011flam\u0131yla (ihtiyaca g\u00f6re) geni\u015fletilebilir.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                                  \n
                                  CTA (demo \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131):<\/div>\n
                                  E\u011fer tesisinizde PTF tahmini \u201cayr\u0131 bir tablo\u201d olarak kal\u0131yor ve sahadan kopuk ilerliyorsa, Hydrowise ile EP\u0130A\u015e verisi + meteoroloji + SCADA sinyallerini tek ak\u0131\u015fta birle\u015ftiren bir demo \u00fczerinden birlikte modelleyebiliriz. (\u0130\u00e7 link: Demo Talep)<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

                                  <\/p>\n

                                  S\u0131k sorulan sorular<\/h2>\n
                                  \n
                                  PTF\u2019yi sadece ge\u00e7mi\u015f PTF ile tahmin etmek neden yetmiyor?<\/div>\n
                                  \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc PTF, tekliflerin k\u0131s\u0131tlar alt\u0131nda optimize edilmesiyle \u00e7\u0131kan sonu\u00e7 fiyat; hava, talep, arz karmas\u0131 ve \u015febeke rejimi de\u011fi\u015fince s\u00fcre\u00e7 farkl\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor [1][5].<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
                                  \n
                                  Hava durumu PTF\u2019yi hangi kanallardan etkiler?<\/div>\n
                                  Talep (\u0131s\u0131tma\/so\u011futma) ve RES\/GES \u00fcretimi \u00fczerinden arz-talep dengesini ayn\u0131 anda de\u011fi\u015ftirir [5][7].<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
                                  \n
                                  Ar\u0131zalar tahmin modellerini neden \u201cbozar\u201d?<\/div>\n
                                  Zorunlu devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131lar arz e\u011frisini aniden kayd\u0131r\u0131r; \u00f6zellikle pik saatlerde marjinal \u00fcretimi de\u011fi\u015ftirir [6].<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
                                  \n
                                  \u0130letim k\u0131s\u0131tlar\u0131 fiyat\u0131 nas\u0131l etkileyebilir?<\/div>\n
                                  K\u0131s\u0131tlar ekonomik s\u0131ralamay\u0131 bozar; sistem farkl\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerde farkl\u0131 denge noktas\u0131na kayabilir [10].<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
                                  \n
                                  En kritik feature hatas\u0131 nedir?<\/div>\n
                                  Data leakage: Tahmin an\u0131nda bilinmeyen veriyi feature\u2019a koymak. Model testte iyi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr, canl\u0131da \u00e7\u00f6ker [6].<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
                                  \n
                                  HES i\u00e7in PTF tahmininde ekstra kritik olan nedir?<\/div>\n
                                  \u201cFiyat\u201d kadar \u201cmiktar riski\u201d: Debi\/\u00fcnite durumu de\u011fi\u015firse PTF do\u011fru olsa bile gelir hedefi tutmayabilir.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
                                  \n
                                  Makine \u00f6\u011frenmesi mi, istatistik mi?<\/div>\n
                                  Piyasa rejimine g\u00f6re de\u011fi\u015fir. Literat\u00fcr; hibrit\/ensemble yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olabildi\u011fini vurgular [5]. \u00d6nemli olan do\u011fru veri ve do\u011fru feature mant\u0131\u011f\u0131d\u0131r.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

                                  <\/p>\n

                                  Sonu\u00e7 + CTA<\/h2>\n

                                  PTF tahmini, \u201cyar\u0131n fiyat ka\u00e7?\u201d sorusundan daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir problemdir: yar\u0131nki arz-talep dengesi hangi ko\u015fullarda olu\u015facak ve hangi saatlerde rejim de\u011fi\u015fecek?
                                  \nHava, talep belirsizli\u011fi, ar\u0131zalar ve iletim k\u0131s\u0131tlar\u0131; PTF\u2019yi bir \u201czaman serisi\u201d gibi de\u011fil, k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131 bir optimizasyon \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131s\u0131 gibi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmemizi gerektirir [1][5][6][10].
                                  \nBu nedenle iyi tahmin yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131; do\u011fru veri kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 birle\u015ftiren, leakage\u2019siz feature \u00fcreten, belirsizli\u011fi senaryola\u015ft\u0131ran ve HES operasyonu ile ayn\u0131 ekranda bulu\u015fturan bir karar destek ak\u0131\u015f\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

                                  \n
                                  Next steps (uygulanabilir):<\/div>\n
                                    \n
                                  1. 1 hafta: EP\u0130A\u015e verisi + temel feature seti + leakage kontrol listesi [2][3]<\/li>\n
                                  2. 2 hafta: Meteoroloji ve talep belirsizli\u011fiyle senaryolu tahmin + spike risk etiketleme [5][6]<\/li>\n
                                  3. 4 hafta: SCADA entegrasyonu ile \u201cfiyat-miktar-risk\u201d tek dashboard<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/div>\n
                                    \n
                                    CTA:<\/div>\n
                                    PTF tahminini \u201ctek say\u0131\u201d yerine sahayla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 senaryo + risk band\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131yla ele almak ve kurumunuza uygun bir karar destek ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 tasarlamak i\u00e7in Renewasoft ile ileti\u015fime ge\u00e7ebilir, ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 birlikte analiz ederek en uygun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc planlayabiliriz.
                                    (\u0130\u00e7 link: Demo Talep)<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

                                    [\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

                                    [vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text css=””] RENEWASOFT | TEKNiK BLOG Okuma S\u00fcresi: ~20-24 dk \u00a0|\u00a0 Seviye: \u0130leri Hedef Kitle: HES i\u015fletmecileri, SCADA m\u00fchendisleri, enerji \u015firketi y\u00f6neticileri Meta description PTF tahmini neden zor? Hava, ar\u0131za, iletim k\u0131s\u0131t\u0131 ve talep belirsizli\u011fini; veri kaynaklar\u0131, feature mant\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Hydrowise yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131yla anlat\u0131yoruz. Anahtar kelimeler PTF tahmini, G\u00fcn \u00d6ncesi Piyasas\u0131, EP\u0130A\u015e \u015eeffafl\u0131k, elektrik fiyat tahmini, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":3262,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1857],"tags":[573,565,567,583,577,507,447,515,569,581,352,571,563,579,575,585],"class_list":["post-2931","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-enerji-piyasasi-epias-karar-destek","tag-ariza-riski","tag-elektrik-fiyat-tahmini","tag-enerji-piyasasi-analitigi","tag-enerji-piyasasinda-belirsizlik","tag-enerji-verisi-analizi","tag-epias","tag-feature-engineering","tag-gun-oncesi-piyasasi","tag-hava-etkisi-elektrik-fiyati","tag-hes-gelir-optimizasyonu","tag-hydrowise-forecast","tag-iletim-kisiti","tag-ptf-tahmini","tag-sapma-riski","tag-talep-tahmini","tag-veri-odakli-karar-sistemi"],"yoast_head":"\nPTF Tahmini Neden Zordur? Hava, Ar\u0131za, \u0130letim K\u0131s\u0131t\u0131 ve Talep Belirsizli\u011fine Veriyle Yakla\u015f\u0131m (HES Perspektifi) - Renewasoft Enerji ve Yaz\u0131l\u0131m A.\u015e<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"PTF Tahmini Neden Zordur? Hava, Ar\u0131za, \u0130letim K\u0131s\u0131t\u0131 ve Talep Belirsizli\u011fine Veriyle Yakla\u015f\u0131m (HES Perspektifi) - Renewasoft Enerji ve Yaz\u0131l\u0131m A.\u015e\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text css=””] RENEWASOFT | TEKNiK BLOG Okuma S\u00fcresi: ~20-24 dk \u00a0|\u00a0 Seviye: \u0130leri Hedef Kitle: HES i\u015fletmecileri, SCADA m\u00fchendisleri, enerji \u015firketi y\u00f6neticileri Meta description PTF tahmini neden zor? Hava, ar\u0131za, iletim k\u0131s\u0131t\u0131 ve talep belirsizli\u011fini; veri kaynaklar\u0131, feature mant\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Hydrowise yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131yla anlat\u0131yoruz. Anahtar kelimeler PTF tahmini, G\u00fcn \u00d6ncesi Piyasas\u0131, EP\u0130A\u015e \u015eeffafl\u0131k, elektrik fiyat tahmini, […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Renewasoft Enerji ve Yaz\u0131l\u0131m A.\u015e\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-02-26T22:35:29+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-03-01T16:31:44+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Resim-3.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1536\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1024\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Mustafa Guneyl\u0131\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Yazan:\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Mustafa Guneyl\u0131\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"15 dakika\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Mustafa Guneyl\u0131\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/#\/schema\/person\/ab869ce0aa609c3823663c282d34e94e\"},\"headline\":\"PTF Tahmini Neden Zordur? Hava, Ar\u0131za, \u0130letim K\u0131s\u0131t\u0131 ve Talep Belirsizli\u011fine Veriyle Yakla\u015f\u0131m (HES Perspektifi)\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-02-26T22:35:29+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-03-01T16:31:44+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/\"},\"wordCount\":3035,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Resim-3.png\",\"keywords\":[\"ar\u0131za riski\",\"elektrik fiyat tahmini\",\"enerji piyasas\u0131 analiti\u011fi\",\"enerji piyasas\u0131nda belirsizlik\",\"enerji verisi analizi\",\"EP\u0130A\u015e\",\"feature engineering\",\"G\u00fcn \u00d6ncesi Piyasas\u0131\",\"hava etkisi elektrik fiyat\u0131\",\"HES gelir optimizasyonu\",\"Hydrowise Forecast\",\"iletim k\u0131s\u0131t\u0131\",\"PTF tahmini\",\"sapma riski\",\"talep tahmini\",\"veri odakl\u0131 karar sistemi\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Enerji Piyasas\u0131 & EP\u0130A\u015e Karar Destek\"],\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/\",\"name\":\"PTF Tahmini Neden Zordur? Hava, Ar\u0131za, \u0130letim K\u0131s\u0131t\u0131 ve Talep Belirsizli\u011fine Veriyle Yakla\u015f\u0131m (HES Perspektifi) - Renewasoft Enerji ve Yaz\u0131l\u0131m A.\u015e\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Resim-3.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-02-26T22:35:29+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-03-01T16:31:44+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Resim-3.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Resim-3.png\",\"width\":1536,\"height\":1024},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Anasayfa\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/ana-sayfa\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"PTF Tahmini Neden Zordur? Hava, Ar\u0131za, \u0130letim K\u0131s\u0131t\u0131 ve Talep Belirsizli\u011fine Veriyle Yakla\u015f\u0131m (HES Perspektifi)\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/\",\"name\":\"Renewasoft Enerji ve Yaz\u0131l\u0131m A.\u015e\",\"description\":\"\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"tr\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/#organization\",\"name\":\"Renewasoft Enerji ve Yaz\u0131l\u0131m A.\u015e\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/images.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/images.jpg\",\"width\":225,\"height\":225,\"caption\":\"Renewasoft Enerji ve Yaz\u0131l\u0131m A.\u015e\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/renewasoft\/\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/#\/schema\/person\/ab869ce0aa609c3823663c282d34e94e\",\"name\":\"Mustafa Guneyl\u0131\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/9ae6d160524b022026d30fc5bb25dee55f73bb4a1f2a8c00d69aba22c8288a76?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/9ae6d160524b022026d30fc5bb25dee55f73bb4a1f2a8c00d69aba22c8288a76?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"Mustafa Guneyl\u0131\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/author\/mustafa\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"PTF Tahmini Neden Zordur? Hava, Ar\u0131za, \u0130letim K\u0131s\u0131t\u0131 ve Talep Belirsizli\u011fine Veriyle Yakla\u015f\u0131m (HES Perspektifi) - Renewasoft Enerji ve Yaz\u0131l\u0131m A.\u015e","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/","og_locale":"tr_TR","og_type":"article","og_title":"PTF Tahmini Neden Zordur? Hava, Ar\u0131za, \u0130letim K\u0131s\u0131t\u0131 ve Talep Belirsizli\u011fine Veriyle Yakla\u015f\u0131m (HES Perspektifi) - Renewasoft Enerji ve Yaz\u0131l\u0131m A.\u015e","og_description":"[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text css=””] RENEWASOFT | TEKNiK BLOG Okuma S\u00fcresi: ~20-24 dk \u00a0|\u00a0 Seviye: \u0130leri Hedef Kitle: HES i\u015fletmecileri, SCADA m\u00fchendisleri, enerji \u015firketi y\u00f6neticileri Meta description PTF tahmini neden zor? Hava, ar\u0131za, iletim k\u0131s\u0131t\u0131 ve talep belirsizli\u011fini; veri kaynaklar\u0131, feature mant\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Hydrowise yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131yla anlat\u0131yoruz. Anahtar kelimeler PTF tahmini, G\u00fcn \u00d6ncesi Piyasas\u0131, EP\u0130A\u015e \u015eeffafl\u0131k, elektrik fiyat tahmini, […]","og_url":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/","og_site_name":"Renewasoft Enerji ve Yaz\u0131l\u0131m A.\u015e","article_published_time":"2026-02-26T22:35:29+00:00","article_modified_time":"2026-03-01T16:31:44+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1536,"height":1024,"url":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Resim-3.png","type":"image\/png"}],"author":"Mustafa Guneyl\u0131","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Yazan:":"Mustafa Guneyl\u0131","Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi":"15 dakika"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/"},"author":{"name":"Mustafa Guneyl\u0131","@id":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/#\/schema\/person\/ab869ce0aa609c3823663c282d34e94e"},"headline":"PTF Tahmini Neden Zordur? Hava, Ar\u0131za, \u0130letim K\u0131s\u0131t\u0131 ve Talep Belirsizli\u011fine Veriyle Yakla\u015f\u0131m (HES Perspektifi)","datePublished":"2026-02-26T22:35:29+00:00","dateModified":"2026-03-01T16:31:44+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/"},"wordCount":3035,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Resim-3.png","keywords":["ar\u0131za riski","elektrik fiyat tahmini","enerji piyasas\u0131 analiti\u011fi","enerji piyasas\u0131nda belirsizlik","enerji verisi analizi","EP\u0130A\u015e","feature engineering","G\u00fcn \u00d6ncesi Piyasas\u0131","hava etkisi elektrik fiyat\u0131","HES gelir optimizasyonu","Hydrowise Forecast","iletim k\u0131s\u0131t\u0131","PTF tahmini","sapma riski","talep tahmini","veri odakl\u0131 karar sistemi"],"articleSection":["Enerji Piyasas\u0131 & EP\u0130A\u015e Karar Destek"],"inLanguage":"tr","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/","url":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/","name":"PTF Tahmini Neden Zordur? Hava, Ar\u0131za, \u0130letim K\u0131s\u0131t\u0131 ve Talep Belirsizli\u011fine Veriyle Yakla\u015f\u0131m (HES Perspektifi) - Renewasoft Enerji ve Yaz\u0131l\u0131m A.\u015e","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Resim-3.png","datePublished":"2026-02-26T22:35:29+00:00","dateModified":"2026-03-01T16:31:44+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"tr","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"tr","@id":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Resim-3.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Resim-3.png","width":1536,"height":1024},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/2026\/02\/26\/ptf-tahmini-neden-zordur-hava-ariza-iletim-kisiti-ve-talep-belirsizligine-veriyle-yaklasim-hes-perspektifi\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Anasayfa","item":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/tr\/ana-sayfa\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"PTF Tahmini Neden Zordur? Hava, Ar\u0131za, \u0130letim K\u0131s\u0131t\u0131 ve Talep Belirsizli\u011fine Veriyle Yakla\u015f\u0131m (HES Perspektifi)"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/#website","url":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/","name":"Renewasoft Enerji ve Yaz\u0131l\u0131m A.\u015e","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"tr"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/#organization","name":"Renewasoft Enerji ve Yaz\u0131l\u0131m A.\u015e","url":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"tr","@id":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/images.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/images.jpg","width":225,"height":225,"caption":"Renewasoft Enerji ve Yaz\u0131l\u0131m A.\u015e"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/renewasoft\/"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/#\/schema\/person\/ab869ce0aa609c3823663c282d34e94e","name":"Mustafa Guneyl\u0131","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"tr","@id":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/9ae6d160524b022026d30fc5bb25dee55f73bb4a1f2a8c00d69aba22c8288a76?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/9ae6d160524b022026d30fc5bb25dee55f73bb4a1f2a8c00d69aba22c8288a76?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Mustafa Guneyl\u0131"},"url":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/author\/mustafa\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2931","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2931"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2931\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3356,"href":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2931\/revisions\/3356"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3262"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2931"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2931"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/renewasoft.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2931"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}